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Tabs On Tigers: Roster Preview
3/21/2025
BY: IAN SHERRY
The Culture Gyre was on assignment last week in Lakeland FL, otherwise known as Tigertown. The life that MLB baseball brings to metro areas across Southern Florida this time of year is, aside from traffic, one of the most inherently positive sports phenomenon I’ve ever been a part of.
Tabs On Tigers Vol. 2
As the Tigers near the regular season, injuries have added to the nuances of their roster finalization. Strong performances from familiar faces attempt to cut through the noise.
If there’s one thing Tigers fans can know for certain about manager AJ Hinch, it’s that he’s approached this roster construction from every angle his baseball mind can concoct. Whether it be positional flexibility or experimental pitcher scheduling, the pencil-and-eraser strategy Hinch is becoming famous for is where fans should expect his greatest managerial impact. In fact, a positive fan, encouraged by last year’s shorthanded strategy-fueled playoff berth might see a similar opportunity developing this spring.
The Injury Bug
With 1 week until opening day, the Tigers have already lost Alex Cobb (SP, 37) to a hip injury, Matt Vierling (OF/3B, 28) to a rotator cuff injury, and Parker Meadows (CF, 23) to a nerve issue. Cobb and Vierling are already scratched for opening day, and while Meadows remains enthusiastic that he’ll return for the opener, Hinch has been more cautious as it remains unclear what, if anything, needs to be done for the promising young outfielders shoulder.
For the rest of the Tiger hopefuls, this means an extra 2/3 roster spots are up for grabs, which adds to a total of what we estimate is 6 unfilled positions.
FILLED POSITIONS
STARTING ROTATION
As is the case for every position, some players are simply locks. There’s no better examples than the reigning Cy Young Tarik Skubal. The hot commodity Jack Flaherty and promising Reese Olson are also present on that list of sure-ins, and given his performance so far this spring Casey Mize is developing a very strong case.
The 27-year-old starter was the Tigers’ first overall pick in 2018, largely due to the mechanics that earned him Tommy John surgery. Mize is now a pitcher challenged with reinventing himself whilst establishing himself as a pro starter, something most successful Tommy John recipients have already earned.
The noodle looked fine last Wednesday (3/12/2025), when Mize threw 3.1 innings of weak contact that amounted to 4K 3BB 1H 0R in front of us and a well-traveled local baseball crowd. Mize is still searching for a put-away pitch. While, his stuff played very well, even dominant against the stadium-less Rays bats, the veteran youngster lacked a consistent strikeout solution against hitters capable of working at-bats and drawing walks.
Regardless, given the traffic jam forming around the final rotation slots, Casey Mize feels like a fairly reliable and relatively experienced option. His upside remains unclear, but he’s by far the easiest to pencil in.
Jackson Jobe is the top pitching prospect in all of baseball. He started last Thursday March 13th, against the Bronx Bombers, and looked brilliant through 3. Recording 9 outs in as many batters, Jobe allowed just one ball out of the infield under Colt Keith’s glove and just one ball in the air that resulted in a doubled play via would-be-base-stealer. His second time through was less successful. The 21-year-old surrendered an impressive line-drive homer to Jasson Dominguez, and once blood was in the water the contact grew louder. Bellinger smoked a flyout to the trusty Riley Greene filling in center field, before Paul Goldschmidt walloped a ball 447 ft over the batters eye.
Jobe is the most talented pitcher to emerge from our system in my memory (the last 8 hours), but average rookie struggles, like the second and third times through the order, are real kinks that need ironing. Jobe did time in the bullpen last season, but don’t expect to ever see him there again. If Jackson Jobe really is the best option a week from now, he will be in that fifth slot, if not he’ll return to Toledo and poise himself for an arrival within the year if the opportunity presents itself.
As for the remaining starting pitching candidates; Matt Manning, Ty Madden, Wilmer Flores, and Sawyer Gibson-Long remain steps away from the bigs.
Kenta Maeda made a worse case for himself than any other roster-member last year with a 6.09 ERA. The Japanese legend’s sorry campaign has since been diagnosed as a failure to ramp up, specifically with his slider – the pitch that’s almost completely responsible for his ability to compete with age-depleted velocity. If he doesn’t present himself as a MLB-ready contributor either in relief or the fifth rotational slot, it seems unlikely the Tigers would afford him a roster spot at any level given this is his second and last year of a $24 M contract.
Listening to Keider Montero’s starts on the radio last year was a true joy, as Dan Dickerson and his cast of cohosts would often delve into the developmental mindset of the Tigers organization. Montero was a AAA-level talent last year, but he showed enough maturity as a coachable major-leaguer to lock down a spot in our depleted rotation while trying to learn a more efficient approach to controlling at-bats – not to mention sharpening his stuff to MLB standards. In 4 appearances so far this spring, Montero’s hard work’s been worth 9.2 IP, 13 K, 5 BB, 8 H, and 4 R (all of which came in his third start) for an ERA of 3.72. His workman’s attitude is an essential ingredient to last season’s success; the player in me can’t help but hope Keider Montero makes the Tigers roster.
BULLPEN
The assumptions made on the roster mock-up above are based on seniority, performance, and the likelihood that free agency investment implies roster security. Regarding the final 2 spots, assuming Hinch opts for the standard 8-man pen, Tigers’ RHP Brenan Hanifee impressed at last Wednesday’s game and has yet to surrender a run this spring in 7 innings of work.
Then the trio of left-handed options: third-time-Tiger Andrew Chafin, who’s ramping up late on a minor league deal, long-relief option Brant Hurter who logged 45 solid late-season innings last year but has surrendered 7 runs in 10.2 innings this spring, and Sean Guenther whose limited workload resulted in a sub-1 ERA last season (21 IP) and 17.18 ERA this spring (3.2).
CATCHERS
A Jake Rogers and Dillon Dingler duo at catcher seemed to be a sure thing headed into the spring. Rogers’ defensive value all-but-guarantees his starting role, especially given his relationship with the top of the rotation. The Tigers however, still chose to bring catching prospects Thayron Liranzo and Josue Briceno to camp, as well as veteran minor-league signees Thomas Nido and Brian Serven. While the young fellas are definitely there more for experience than roster contention, their presence shows a searching attitude – the kind we wouldn’t have expected with Dingler’s former stock as a prospect.
Dingler, the Tigers top prospect during their farm system’s weakest years, has yet to post a convincing major-league offensive campaign in a limited sample size. But, amidst mounting pressure from below this preseason, he’s responded well enough to all-but-clinch his job with a .273 AVG, a .860 OPS, and a pair of homers.
INFIELD
An interjecting word of advice on Javier Baez: we’re harboring the shell of an All-Star shortstop who fell victim to a mental/mechanical standstill that will likely claim his career. Wasting your energy criticizing his offensive performance at this juncture is akin to criticizing the paintjob of a car you just witnessed smash into the post office. Like every other major roster category, the infield is nearly set in stone. Last Thursday Hinch gave Baez a shot at 3B, where he made 1 error you could chalk up to unfamiliarity, but he made up for it at the plate of all places with an RBI double.
As for the rest of the left side, the left-handed Trey Sweeney is all-but guaranteed a bid at the starting shortstop spot. Zach McKinstry and Andy Ibanez’s given specialities always have a place on Hinch’s bench. I assumed Jace Jung would earn a similar misfit safety, but all he’s done this spring is hit his way out of contention with a .121 AVG over 33 at-bats. Jung is aptly named, and he’ll get more opportunities to crack the major league roster if he continues to grow over the next couple years, but I can’t imagine the Tigers offering him that opportunity a week from now.
That leaves just one primary infielder attempting to hack his way onto this team: Spencer Torkelson. The Tigers most recent #1 pick has had well-documented ups and downs, and while I’m extremely hesitant to buy into the young power threat, he appears to be on another one of those upswings this spring. Torkelson’s odds weren’t great entering camp, backup right-handed first basemen are a rarity, but as the struggles continue on the opposite side of the infield and the injuries continue piling up, he’s hit for a .297 AVG, .955 OPS, 4 HR, and 9 RBIs including a homer, double, and 4 RBIs just for us last Wednesday. The strikeouts are still too prevalent (10/40 at-bats ended with a K so far), but these glimpses of a shortened power swing are exactly what Tigers management need to see from Tork.
OUTFIELD
The closest player to Spencer Torkelson in terms of makeup is Justin Henry Malloy. The young right-handed bat was initially acquired as an infielder from Atlanta in exchange for Joe Jimenez, before moving to the outfield and making measured but legitimate contributions for the Tigers last season. He worked into a rotation of 5 or 6 outfielders at a time on last year’s roster and has taken some reps at 1B this month. Malloy has notched a .308 AVG to throw him into direct competition with Torkelson who’s recently taken balls in the outfield on the back of his promising performance so far this spring.
Non-roster-invite Jahmai Jones made a bit of an impression at the beginning of camp, but has since petered off to a .242 AVG which I find unlikely to infiltrate the Tigers quality outfield.
The recently healthy Wenceel Perez also has his work cut out for him. The switch-hitting multipositional contributor was an important part of last year’s injury-ridden outfield, but he’s gone just 3/21 to date.
The status of bubble players like Torkelson, Malloy, Jung, and Perez, none of which are a necessity, depends almost entirely on Parker Meadows’ status. Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter are locks (though Carpenter’s fielding may be preferable at DH), so a healthy Meadows would round out a starting outfield. Even if Meadows isn’t healthy, there is a possibility he makes the roster anyway with the expectation that he’d return within weeks of the season’s start. Either way there is a need for right-handed hitters to back up a potentially all-lefty outfield. That just might spell Tork.